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24 Jun 2020 14:49 #46977 by tututu
tututu created the topic: Chance
Hello, I noticed an issue with the probability chance window in the game. When I get four card of one kind (heart tile clover etc) and it last only the river, the chance window indicate 1/5 (20%) when the real probability is 1/4 as many chance to get heart tile clover or pike so 25%. The thing is reproducible. Please explain if you think that's wrong. Thank you.

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24 Jun 2020 23:25 #46982 by boehmi
boehmi replied.
It's not 1/4, because there are already 4 cards of this suit known. There are 9 left with 46 unknown cards. There are proportionally more cards of the other suits in the remaining 46. So it's 9/46 = 0.1956...
The following user(s) said Thank You: tututu

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25 Jun 2020 00:13 - 25 Jun 2020 00:18 #46983 by tututu
tututu replied.
That's a good explanation, I was looking at it a wrong way. I didn't think about that 4/13 cards of the suit are out so it remain only 9. Thank you.

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25 Jun 2020 22:46 #46988 by israelac
israelac replied.
-1

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